Posted on: March 8, 2012 11:27 pm
By C. Trent Rosecrans
The Padres' offseason was dominated by their trade with the Reds -- sending starter Mat Latos to Cincinnati for four players, including projected starting first baseman Yonder Alonso and former All-Star Edinson Volquez. In an attempt to find more offense, the Padres also added Carlos Quentin in a deal with the White Sox. The Padres know their problem is scoring runs, and now it's just trying to figure out how to get it.
Major additions: OF Carlos Quentin, 1B Yonder Alonso, RHP Edinson Volquez
Major departures: CL Heath Bell, RHP Mat Latos, 1B Anthony Rizzo, LHP Wade LeBlanc, RHP Aaron Harang
1. Will Venable RF
2. Chase Headley 3B
3. Cameron Maybin CF
4. Carlos Quentin LF
5. Yonder Alonso 1B
6. Nick Hundley C
7. Orlando Hudson 2B
8. Jason Bartlett SS
1. Tim Stauffer
2. Clayton Richard
3. Edinson Volquez
4. Cory Luebke
5. Dustin Moseley
Closer: Huston Street
Set-up: Luke Gregerson, Andrew Cashner, Joe Thatcher
Important bench players
OF Chris Denorfia, 1B Jesus Guzman, C John Baker, RP/PH Micah Owings
Prospects to watch
While the Latos trade is one that will be referenced throughout the season, the team could ultimately benefit more from last season's traded that sent reliever Mike Adams to Texas in return for right-hander Joe Wieland and left-hander Robbie Erlin. Both Wieland and Erlin are control pitchers with flyball tendencies that will benefit from the trade. Both starters project to benefit from pitching half their games at spacious Petco Park rather than at the bandbox in Texas. Wieland went 3-1 with a 2.77 ERA in five starts at Double-A San Antonio after the trade, while Erlin was 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in six starts for the Padres' Texas League affiliate. Both could find themselves in the big leagues later this year.
Fantasy sleeper: Edinson Volquez
"Volquez struck out 19 in 23 2/3 innings and held the opposition to a .250 batting average in four September starts. Another reason to be encouraged is that Volquez has a strong history at his new home ballpark, going 1-1 with a 2.33 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 21 strikeouts in 19 1/3 innings. PETCO Park can also help Volquez as he looks to cut down on his home runs allowed. Volquez was plagued by the long ball in 2011, yielding 1.6 homers per nine innings." -- Michael Hurcomb [Full Padres fantasy preview]
Fantasy bust: Yonder Alonso
"There are a few issues heading into 2012 we need to highlight before Fantasy owners reach for Alonso on Draft Day. The first being that he is moving to pitcher-friendly PETCO Park. Alonso is more of a line-drive hitter, which won't help his power numbers in San Diego. Second, Alonso is just 69 games into his MLB career. Once opposing teams get a better scouting report, the road will almost certainly get tougher for Alonso." -- Michael Hurcomb [Full Padres fantasy preview]
The offensive additions bring a jolt to the Padres, with Quentin leading the way. While Petco does play big, it's not as extreme against right-handed pull hitters and he has one of the best offensive seasons we've seen in Petco. Speaking of offense, Alonso's left-handed but his natural stroke leads to a ton of doubles and with Maybin on base more often, he scores easily on so many of Alonso's two-baggers. The pitching staff benefits from the park more than the offense hurts and once again an unheralded pitching staff dominates -- led by a finally healthy Volquez -- and leads San Diego to a surprising run at the National League West title.
It's the same old, same old -- decent pitching at home, but not enough runs. Without scoring runs, the team slogs through another season, losing more than 90 games again. But hey, they're still in San Diego, so it's not all that bad.
Tags: Aaron Harang, Andrew Cashner, Anthony Rizzo, Bud Black, C. Trent Rosecrans, Cameron Maybin, Carlos Quentin, Chase HEadley, CHris Denorfia, Clayton Richard, Cory Luebke, Dustin Mosely, Edinson Volquez, Heath Bell, Huston Street, Jason Bartlett, Jesus Guzman, Joe Thatcher, Joe Wieland, John Baker, Luke Gregerson, Mat Latos, Micah Owings, Mike Adams, Nick Hundley, NL West, Orlando Hudson, Padres, Robbie Erlin, spring primer, Tim Stauffer, Wade LaBlanc, Will Venable, Yonder Alonso
Posted on: November 24, 2011 2:15 pm
Edited on: November 26, 2011 1:38 pm
By C. Trent Rosecrans
What if players were only permitted to stay with the team that originally made them a professional? No trades, no Rule-5 Draft, no waivers, no minor- or major-league free agency ... once you are a professional baseball player, you stay in that organization. This series shows how all 30 teams would look. We give you: Homegrown teams.
On one end of this spectrum is the team with baseball's highest payroll, the Yankees, and now we'll look at the other end, the San Diego Padres. The Padres have just $16.9 allocated toward its 2012 payroll at the end of the 2011 season, versus the Yankees' $171.5 million. The Padres weren't just at the opposite end of the payroll spectrum as the Yankees, they're also in the other league, the opposite coast and on the other end of the standings, finsihing last in the NL West with a 71-91 record.
1. Chase Headley, LF
2. Jason Bartlett, SS
3. David Freese, 3B
4. Derrek Lee, 1B
5. Kyle Blanks, RF
6. Will Venable, CF
7. Nick Hundley, C
8. Logan Forsyth, 2B
1. Jake Peavy
2. Mat Latos
3. Tim Stauffer
4. Wade LeBlanc
5. Cory Luebke
Closer - Shawn Camp
Set up - Brandon Gomes, Cesar Ramos, Ryan Webb, Josh Spence, Ernesto Frieri
Long - David Pauley, Anthony Bass
Notable Bench Players
Xavier Nady, George Kottaras
The bullpen may not have a guy that comes in and records a ton of saves, but there are some decent arms to get between the starters to the closer. The rotation isn't terrible -- it's not great, but it's not terrible, and pitching at Petco just about any rotation is going to be at least OK.
Like the real Padres, that lineup isn't going to put up a whole lot of runs. The Padres haven't had an easy time figuring out how to score runs at Petco, no matter where the players come from. Lee would have helped much more in the past than in 2011, and playing at Petco wouldn't have helped him, either. While Bartlett and Lee are good defenders, the rest of this group could struggle, especially with Headley back in the outfield and Veneble in center.
Comparison to real 2011
Finishing 71-91, the Padres weren't great, but they were probably better than this product. The rotation would hinge on Peavy's health. Peavy managed 18 starts for the White Sox, going 7-7 with a 4.92 ERA. There's no telling what his record would be with the Padres, considering the team's offensive woes, but his ERA would have been lower. Overall, this team isn't scaring anyone and while the record may be different with this team, its place in the standings would likely be the same.
Up next: Minnesota Twins
For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @EyeOnBaseball on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed.
Tags: Anthony Bass, Brandon Gomes, Cesar Ramos, Chase Headley, Cory Luebke, David Freese, David Pauley, Derrek Lee, Ernesto Frieri, George Kottaras, Homegrown, Jake Peavy, Jason Bartlett, Josh Spence, Kyle Blanks, Logan Forsyth, Mat Latos, Nick Hundley, NL West, Padres, Ryan Webb, Shawn Camp, Tim Stauffer, Wade LeBlanc, Will Venable, Xavier Nady
Posted on: November 15, 2011 12:31 pm
Edited on: November 15, 2011 1:04 pm
By Evan Brunell
The Padres intend to trade either shortstop Jason Bartlett or second baseman Orlando Hudson, Fox Sports reports.
The budget-conscious Padres would like to slash payroll from the middle infield, as San Diego has a tight budget to work with. Both infielders are the only players with guaranteed contracts for the 2012 season. Bartlett will make $5.5 million in 2012, but hit just .245/.308/.307 for the Padres, his worst offensive showing in his career outside from an eight-game stint in 2004 as a rookie. The 32-year-old was once considered a good defensive shortstop but seems to be coasting by on reputation these days. There are many teams that need a shortstop, though, so the Padres may be able to find a fit elsewhere. The infielder also has a $5.5 million option for 2013, with a $1.5 million buyout.
Hudson is also on the block. He is signed for 2012 at the same salary of $5.5 million as Bartlett, but holds a club option for 2013 worth $8 million with a $2 million buyout. Hudson struggled with the stick last year as well, hitting .246/.329/.352 and missed part of the season with a thigh strain. It will be much more difficult for San Diego to find a home for Hudson, given his declining bat and signs that he may not be a gifted fielder anymore. He also plays a position of less demand than Bartlett.
As Fox Sports writes, if Bartlett is traded, Everth Cabrera will likely draw the assignment at short. If Hudson is dealt, options include Cabrera, Logan Forsythe and Andy Parrino. If both are somehow moved, which San Diego would probably prefer, look for the team to import at least one replacement. Cabrera burst on the scene as a 22-year-old back in 2009, hitting .255/.342/.361. However, he fell flat on his face in 2010 and spent much of 2011 in the minors. He showed encouraging improvement with the bat at Triple-A this past season, so it's no surprise the Pads are trying to clear room for him. Being able to play at the league-minimum salary is also a help.
Money is a problem beyond Bartlett and Hudson, though. Fox Sports also reports that the club isn't optimistic about retaining Heath Bell.
While the closer has long expressed an interest in returning to town and even once admitted he might accept arbitration to stay with the team, it appears that Bell's market is strong in free agency. The closer has been holding out for a three-year pact with San Diego, which the club so far is unwilling to do. The new labor agreement could complicate things as well, as draft-pick compensation is likely to be modified for Type A free agents. That could present a problem, especially if teams are no longer required to surrender a first-round pick to ink a Type A free agent, which Bell is. That would not boost Bell's market, which may already be beyond the Padres' reach.
For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @EyeonBaseball on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed.
Posted on: October 22, 2011 9:48 am
By C. Trent Rosecrans
Which players are hitting better in October than in the regular season? Our David Fung wanted to know, and did this graphic.
Get more of Fung at fungraphs.tumblr.com and on Twitter at @cobradave.
For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @eyeonbaseball on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed.
Tags: 2011 postseason, Angels, Braves, Brian McCann, C. Trent Rosecrans, Cardinals, Chris Young, Cody Ross, Cubs, Dave Roberts, David Freese, David Fung, Derrek Lee, Diamondbacks, Giants, Hideki Matsui, Jason Bartlett, Jason Bay, Jeff Mathis, Mark DeRosa, Rays, Red Sox, Rockies, Sean Casey, Skip Schumaker, So Taguchi, Stephen Drew, Tigers, Trot Nixon, Yankees, Yorvit Torrealba
Posted on: September 22, 2011 4:12 pm
By C. Trent Rosecrans
Another season gone, another disappointment for 29 teams as one is immortalized forever. Let’s take a look back at 2011 and forward in Eye on Baseball’s R.I.P. series...Team name: San Diego Padres
Record: 68-88, 19.5 games back in NL West
Manager: Bud Black
Best hitter: Chase Headley -- .291/.377/.405, 4 HR, 44 RBI, 42 R, 28 2B, 13 SB
Best pitcher: Mat Latos -- 8-14, 3.60 ERA, 1.212 WHIP, 176 K, 187 1/3 IP
2011 SEASON RECAP
San Diego was eight games back by the end of April, so it's hardly a surprise the team finished dead last in the NL West. After fantastic pitching led the team to the brink of the playoffs a year ago, the team couldn't recreate its magic of 2010. Mat Latos took a step back (but was still pretty good), while Clayton Richard made just 18 starts before being shut down for the season and undergoing shoulder surgery.
While nobody stepped up to take all of Gonzalez's offensive load, the team had some surprisingly good offensive performances, as third baseman Chase Headley put together a solid season, as did catcher Nick Hundley (.289/.352/.471 with eight homers) and first baseman Jesus Guzman (.313/.369/.479 with five homers). And then there was Cameron Maybin, the former first-round pick of the Tigers and big part of the trade that sent Dontrelle Willis and Miguel Cabrera from Florida to Detroit had been labeled as a disappointment for several years now despite the fact he's now just 24 years old. Not only did Maybin hit a respectable .266/.322/.397 with nine homers and 38 stolen bases, he's shown the ability to patrol the spacious outfield at Petco. If he continues to improve and works on his on-base percentage, Maybin can be a maintain in San Diego.
With the rise of the Diamondbacks, the return of the Giants, what has to be a better year for the Rockies and hopefully new ownership in Los Angeles, there's not much room for optimism in the NL West for the lowly Padres. But hey, it's a really nice ballpark, and you live in San Diego, what can you really complain about?
The rotation should be relatively stable, with Latos, Richard, Tim Stauffer and Dustin Moseley, with Cory Luebke, Robbie Erlin, Joe Wieland and Casey Kelly ready to step in if needed. The bullpen is a bigger question, with free agent Heath Bell and the departure of Mike Adams.
The biggest weakness in the lineup is the middle infield, where Orlando Hudson was OK, but aging, and Jason Bartlett didn't do much. Kyle Blanks has once again flashed the ability to rise above the constraints of the ballpark, but lacked consistency.
FREE AGENTSHeath Bell, RP
Jeremy Hermida, OF
Can the Padres get anyone who can actually hit the ball? Or is it that tough to do Petco Park? Well, it'd be nice to get a big bopper, but with the reputation of Petco, no free agent hitter in his right mind is going to sign with San Diego. Even those with good numbers before coming to Petco, like Ryan Ludwick, left without much success. While Ludwick hasn't exactly rebounded in Pittsburgh, his free agent stock will take a tumble and there's no doubt he and his agent will blame it on Petco. Petco -- and the team's payroll ceiling -- will force the Padres to add offense through trades and developments rather than free-agent signings.
Then there's the matter of the team's bullpen. There will be a lot of the same names, but the backend will be different than it was this season after the trade of Adams and the possible departure of Bell. Here's five things I'd do to help the Padres going forward:
No, the Padres aren't going to the World Series with these moves, but they'll be under budget and have a better idea of what their futures holds after the 2012 season. Some things may not work out, Rizzo may not be the hitter we think he is, but we'll know. And as a wise man once said, that's half the battle. The other half is lasers.For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @eyeonbaseball on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed.
Tags: Aaron Harang, Adrian Gonzalez, Bud Black, C. Trent Rosecrans, Cameron Maybin, Casey Kelly, Chase Headley, Clayton Richard, Corey Luebke, Dustin Mosely, Heath Bell, James Darnell, Jason Bartlett, Jeremy Hermida, Jesus Guzman, Joe Wieland, Mat Latos, Matt Belisle, Nick Hundley, NL West, Orlando Hudson, Padres, R.I.P., Robbie Erlin, Shawn Camp, Tim Stauffer, Todd Coffey
Posted on: August 9, 2011 11:00 pm
By C. Trent Rosecrans
The Padres will increase their payroll in 2012, if only modestly, and hope to find a "resting place" over the next five seasons around $70 million, Padres CEO Jeff Moorad told Bill Center of the San Diego Union-Tribune.
Moorad, whose team will have a final payroll around $45 million this season, said next year's payroll "will start with a five."
The Padres have already committed $10.75 million to shortstop Jason Bartlett and second baseman Orlando Hudson, a raise of nearly $3 million, combined. The team also has a $5 million option on pitcher Aaron Harang, who made $3.5 million this season. They also owe Brad Hawpe a $1 million buyout and could have as many as 10 arbitration-eligible players.
And then there's Heath Bell, who is a free agent after the season and although he's expressed a desire to remain in San Diego and entertain a "hometown discount," he'd still likely be in line for a raise from the $7.5 million he made this season.
With all of that in consideration, it's unlikely the Padres will be a big player in free agency this winter. That's hardly unexpected, though.
"The team is going to be homegrown," Moorad said. "I'm consistent. We're not going to be shifting our priorities from year-to-year. The plan won't change."
The team's local TV contract expires after the season and Moorad hinted that the team has another broadcast deal in place that would help .For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @eyeonbaseball on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed.
Posted on: July 8, 2011 2:42 pm
Edited on: July 8, 2011 3:17 pm
By C. Trent Rosecrans
Bill Hall may be headed for the disabled list after getting spiked by San Diego shortstop Jason Bartlett in Thursday's 2-1 Giants victory at AT&T Park, Andrew Baggarly of the San Jose Mercury News writes.
Hall needed seven stitches to close a gash and Hall said the cut went to the bone in his leg.
Bartlett was caught stealing in the fourth, but didn't appear to go high with his spikes, Hall was blocking the bag and got caught by Bartlett's spikes. You can see the play here.
"There's not a lot of skin left to over the wound," Hall told Baggarly. "I knew as soon as it happened. This is the second time in my career I had one. The other time, my kneecap was showing."
Fontenot is currently not he disabled list with strained groin, while Sanchez is likely out for the rest of the season after suffering a dislocated shoulder. Fontenot will not be activated until after the All-Star break, but manager Bruce Bochy told Baggarly "there's no sense of urgency."
Tejada made his first start at the position on Tuesday.
Hall is hitting just .158/.220/.211 in 16 games and 41 plate appearances for the Giants this season. Baggarly writes that Hall is expected to be jettisoned when Fontenot returns. Hall was released by the Astros in June.For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @cbssportsmlb on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed.
Posted on: June 28, 2011 9:54 pm
By Evan Brunell
The Cardinals are attempting to trade for both Heath Bell and Jason Bartlett from San Diego, the New York Post reports.
St. Louis has mixed and matched at closer the entire season, and Bell would immediately slot in as a proven closer. While Fernando Salas, a rookie, has locked down the ninth inning as of late by converting 10 straight saves and 12 overall, he's still an unproven rookie. Although the Cardinals have had success with unproven rookies becoming closers, as Adam Wainwright was a major reason the Cardinals walked away with the 2006 championship.
However, St. Louis' bullpen as a whole has struggled, registering a 4.19 ERA, good for 23rd in baseball. Adding Bell would allow the Cardinals to lengthen the bullpen by putting Salas in a setup role and pushing everyone down a spot, which can't help but dramatically improve the bullpen. Bell has saved 55 of his last 56 chances and boasts a 2.53 ERA on the season, although his strikeout rate has declined to seven per nine innings after registering in the double-digits over the last two seasons.
Bartlett, meanwhile, would solve the Cardinals' gaping hole at shortstop. While Ryan Theriot has surprised with the stick and raised St. Louis' level of grittiness, he's been porous in the field and could use a shift to second. Bartlett, who was acquired in the offseason, boasts a slick glove and hit .320 in 2009, although he's down to .249 with San Diego. Acquiring both Bell and Bartlett would dramatically improve the Cards' chances of hanging tough with the Brewers and Reds, while San Diego is 10 1/2 games out of first and needs to look to next season as they continue their post-Adrian Gonzalez era.
The Post also notes that the Yankees want Mike Adams from the Padres, but the righty's price tag will be large given he is San Diego's closer of the future.
For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @cbssportsmlb on Twitter or subscribe to the RSS feed.