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Blog Entry

Playoff Race: Red Sox Wild Card lead shrinking

Posted on: September 18, 2011 5:42 pm
Edited on: September 18, 2011 11:58 pm
 
By Matt Snyder

The series that could have virtually locked up a playoff berth for the Red Sox ended up bringing the Rays to within two games. After being swept by the Rays last weekend, the Red Sox dropped three of four to Tampa Bay at home and now cling to a slim lead in the Wild Card. Meanwhile, the Angels are within four games as well, so it's become a three-team race to a certain extent -- though the Angels would need a lot of help with just 10 games remaining.

Let's break it down.

Boston Red Sox
87-65
Remaining schedule: 4 vs. BAL, 3 @ NYY, 3 @ BAL
Coolstandings.com chances of winning Wild Card: 81.9 percent

Tampa Bay Rays
85-67, 2 GB
Remaining schedule: 4 @ NYY, 3 vs. TOR, 3 vs. NYY
Coolstandings.com chances of winning Wild Card: 8 percent

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
83-69, 4 GB
Remaining schedule: 4 @ TOR, 3 vs. OAK, 3 vs. TEX
Coolstandings.com chances of winning Wild Card: 1.4 percent

On the surface, it would appear the Rays have easily the toughest road, but those last three games against the Yankees may not be as tough as they seem. It's entirely plausible the Yankees have nothing to play for, considering they have more than a three-game lead for the best record in the AL. Then you shift your focus to the Red Sox playing seven games against the hapless Orioles. Only the O's haven't been so hapless lately. Within the past two weeks, the Orioles have won consecutive games against the Yankees and taken two of three from both the Rays and Angels.

So, yes, the Red Sox still have the best shot at making the postseason from this group, but it's not a slam dunk. Remember, those computer odds don't factor in momentum or injuries.

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Comments
hotmeuly
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 20, 2011 3:27 pm
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peulouy
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 18, 2011 8:09 am
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Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 7, 2011 10:21 pm
 

Playoff Race: Red Sox Wild Card lead shrinking

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Since: Aug 20, 2006
Posted on: September 19, 2011 3:58 pm
 

Playoff Race: Red Sox Wild Card lead shrinking

That's what I'm reading he wrote....what is your point?



Since: Dec 9, 2007
Posted on: September 18, 2011 11:44 pm
 

Playoff Race: Red Sox Wild Card lead shrinking

Perhaps you meant to write "but it's not a slam dunk"



Since: Sep 28, 2006
Posted on: September 18, 2011 6:51 pm
 

Playoff Race: Red Sox Wild Card lead shrinking

@GodoftheGame...Rays fan here, Your assessment is spot on and that had to be tough for you to write. The Red Sox downward spin has to be gut wretching. 3 and 12 in September is now way to go into the playoffs...I almost feel bad for you...almost. GO RAYS!!!



Since: Aug 20, 2006
Posted on: September 18, 2011 5:59 pm
 

Playoff Race: Red Sox Wild Card lead shrinking

I'm a Sox fan and they simply don't deserve to be in the playoffs. The Rays would have a much better chance, as the Sox would be quickly bounced in the first round. They are not a mentally tough team. This is September and you can't close it out? Go golfing then.



The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com