Blog Entry

Playoff race: Brewers sew up NL Central

Posted on: September 7, 2011 2:22 pm
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Greinke

By Evan Brunell

The NL Central race is a foregone conclusion, with the Brewers handily in first place. But let's take a look at the state of the division heading into Sept. 7 games...

Milwaukee Brewers
Record: 85-58
19 games remaining: 7 road, 12 home
Winning percentage of remaining opponents: .497
Coolstandings.com expectancy of division title: 99.9 percent

St. Louis Cardinals
Record: 75-67, 9.5 games back
20 games remaining: 10 road, 10 home
Winning percentage of remaining opponents: .507
Coolstandings.com expectancy of playoffs: 2.4 percent

Playoff race

The race is over. The Brewers have run away with the division, boasting the best odds of winning the title. (The Phillies are 0.1 percent behind, but they're still behind.)

So there isn't much of a postseason race, obviously, so let's talk about next season instead. Both teams that top the NL Central right now could feasibly not even be in the mix come September 2012. Milwaukee has slugger Prince Fielder heading to free agency, which could doom their offense. The Brew Crew also has a pretty thin farm system, so can't bank on a lot of help. With a duo of Zack Greinke (pictured) and Shaun Marcum fronting the rotation and Ryan Braun at the plate, the Brew Crew should still have some hope heading into next year ... but the margin of error is that much slimmer.

St. Louis, of course, also has to contend with the free-agent status of Albert Pujols. It also has decisions to make on Chris Carpenter, Adam Wainwright and others in an offseason that could redefine the Cards for years to come. Even if Pujols, Berkman and Carpenter all return, contending will prove difficult just as it has this year.

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Comments
hotmeuly
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 20, 2011 8:08 pm
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peulouy
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 18, 2011 12:59 pm
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Since: Nov 14, 2006
Posted on: October 29, 2011 1:42 am
 

Playoff race: Brewers sew up NL Central

Thanks again, Evan.  Number 11 in '11.   Joel Mach



Since: Nov 14, 2006
Posted on: October 16, 2011 11:54 pm
 

Playoff race: Brewers sew up NL Central

Thanks, again, Evan!   Go Cards!



Since: Nov 14, 2006
Posted on: September 11, 2011 12:01 am
 

Playoff race: Brewers sew up NL Central

Thanks for the post, Evan!  I am hoping this is posted on the home page of every Cardinal player and team rep for the next eighteen days of baseball.  I agree that, statistically, your article had merit and alot of truth at the time you posted it.  It's still the players that play and win the games.  Thanks again for pushing the Cards in the right direction!


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