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Playoff Race: Tigers strengthen grip on Central

Posted on: September 5, 2011 5:51 pm
 
By Matt Snyder

Here's a breakdown of the AL Central race -- or what's left of it -- with all data through games of Sept. 5.

Detroit Tigers
Record: 79-62
21 games remaining: 11 road, 10 home
Winning percentage of remaining opponents: .456
Baseball Prospectus expectancy of division title: 97.5 percent

Cleveland Indians
Record: 70-68, 7.5 games back
24 games remaining: 13 road, 11 home
Winning percentage of remaining opponents: .492
Baseball Prospectus expectancy of division title: 0.9 percent

Chicago White Sox
Record: 69-69, 8.5 GB
24 games remaining: 13 home, 11 road
Winning percentage of remaining opponents: .472
Baseball Prospectus expectancy of division title: 1.6 percent

Playoff race

When the Tigers won Monday against the Indians, things seemed to get a lot more set in stone in what used to be a competitive race. Still, the Indians have five games left against the Tigers, so anything is possible. The White Sox have eight games against the Indians and three against the Tigers, so we can't completely count them out based upon mathematics, either. Still, with Justin Verlander likely to get four more starts and the easiest remaining schedule, it's awfully difficult to see the Tigers cough up more than a week's worth of games' lead in just three weeks. The wheels would have to completely fall off. With games against the Indians Tuesday and Wednesday, the Tigers could essentially nail down the division this week.

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Comments
hotmeuly
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 20, 2011 8:51 pm
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peulouy
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 18, 2011 1:57 pm
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Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 8, 2011 4:06 am
 

Playoff Race: Tigers strengthen grip on Central

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Since: Aug 24, 2011
Posted on: September 6, 2011 9:43 am
 

Playoff Race: Tigers strengthen grip on Central

It's not about winning the Central anymore. It is about home field advantage in the first round. At this pace, (only being a 1/2 game back of Texas) they should be playing hard to lock this up.


hayree
Since: Sep 6, 2011
Posted on: September 6, 2011 9:20 am
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hayree
Since: Sep 6, 2011
Posted on: September 6, 2011 9:07 am
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Since: Aug 28, 2011
Posted on: September 6, 2011 6:28 am
 

Playoff Race: Tigers strengthen grip on Central

I don't think you need to worry about JL, TLL; he's probably more nervous than you are. Plus, I imagine it's likely, all things being equal, Detroit wants to catch Texas.



Since: Sep 5, 2011
Posted on: September 5, 2011 9:20 pm
 

Playoff Race: Tigers strengthen grip on Central

And that being said, I'm more nervous than ever.  I know Leyland likes to rest his players - I just hope he doesn't think the division is locked until it is LOCKED.  It wouldn't be the first time we've been in a great position only to be let down.  Tigers are on a roll - keep a killer instinct and carry it to the playoffs!


The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com